2021

Feasibility of controlling hepatitis E in Jiangsu Province, China: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis E, an acute zoonotic disease caused by the hepatitis E virus (HEV), has a relatively high burden in developing countries. The current research model on hepatitis E mainly uses experimental animal models (such as pigs, chickens, …

A data driven agent-based model that recommends non-pharmaceutical interventions to suppress Coronavirus disease 2019 resurgence in megacities.

Before herd immunity against Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is achieved by mass vaccination, science-based guidelines for non-pharmaceutical interventions are urgently needed to reopen megacities. This study integrated massive mobile phone …

Meteorological Factors and the Transmissibility of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Xiamen City, China.

Background: As an emerging infectious disease, the prevention and control of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) poses a significant challenge to the development of public health in China. In this study, we aimed to explore the mechanism of the …

Effectiveness of Contact Tracing, Mask Wearing and Prompt Testing on Suppressing COVID-19 Resurgences in Megacities: An Individual-Based Modelling Study

Background: Secondary waves of COVID-19 loom in many countries as strict physical distancing measures have been lifted. Since megacities have been hardest hit by the disease, science-based guidelines of non-pharmaceutical interventions are still in …

Effectiveness of potential antiviral treatments in COVID-19 transmission control: a modelling study.

BACKGROUND: Novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) causes an immense disease burden. Although public health countermeasures effectively controlled the epidemic in China, non-pharmaceutical interventions can neither be maintained indefinitely nor …

Impact of interventions on the incidence of natural focal diseases during the outbreak of COVID-19 in Jiangsu Province, China.

BACKGROUND: During the period of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, strong intervention measures, such as lockdown, travel restriction, and suspension of work and production, may have curbed the spread of other infectious diseases, …

Containing the Transmission of COVID-19: A Modeling Study in 160 Countries.

Background: It is much valuable to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prevention and control in the non-pharmacological intervention phase of the pandemic across countries and identify useful experiences …

Epidemiological Characteristics and Transmissibility for SARS-CoV-2 of Population Level and Cluster Level in a Chinese City

Background: To date, there is a lack of sufficient evidence on the type of clusters in which severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is most likely to spread. Notably, the differences between cluster-level and population-level …

Investigation and analysis on an outbreak of norovirus infection in a health school in Guangdong Province, China.

Our objective was to describe the epidemiological features of an outbreak of norovirus infection in a health school in Guangdong province, China, to identify the cause of such a large scale outbreak of norovirus among older students, to simulate the …

The collaboration between infectious disease modeling and public health decision-making based on the COVID-19.

Public health decision-making may have great uncertainty especially in dealing with emerging infectious diseases, so it is necessary to establish a collaborative mechanism among modelers, epidemiologists, and public health decision-makers to reduce …