chenlab

Development and preliminary validation of a predictive model for IgA nephropathy progression.

IgA nephropathy (IgAN), the most common primary glomerular disease worldwide, poses challenges in predicting progression at diagnosis-particularly in primary care. This study developed and validated a model to estimate 5-year renal survival and …

Epidemiological impact of three major respiratory coronavirus epidemics on influenza transmission: a multicountry analysis using surveillance data and mathematical modelling.

BACKGROUND: With the acceleration of globalisation and the increasing frequency of international exchanges, the risk of cross-border transmission of emerging respiratory infectious diseases (ERIDs) has significantly increased. Since the year 2002, …

Avian influenza virus dynamics in poultry and the environment: an eight-year longitudinal study in the southwestern Poyang Lake region of China.

Surveillance of the Avian influenza virus serves as the first line of defense, encompassing monitoring of both animals and environment. These approaches vary across countries due to differences in epidemiology and public health policies. We conducted …

Temporal and age-structured analysis of Mpox spread in the 2022 Global outbreak: data-assimilation insights for epidemic control.

BACKGROUND: The global outbreak of mpox that began in 2022 caused sustained human-to-human transmission and demonstrates distinct epidemiological characteristics compared to previous outbreaks. Our aim is to quantify temporal variation of mpox …

Meteorological determinants of hepatitis E dynamics in Jiangsu Province, China: a pre-COVID-19 era study focusing on multi-route transmission (2005-2018).

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate the impact of meteorological factors on the incidence and multi-route transmission dynamics of hepatitis E virus (HEV) in Jiangsu Province, China, during the pre-COVID-19 era (2005-2018), and to develop …

Tuberculosis Prevalence Trends from a Predictive Modelling Study - 10 High-Burden Countries, 1980-2035.

: Given the challenges presented by drug-resistant strains of tuberculosis (TB) and the rising mobility of the population, achieving the objective of eradicating TB appears uncertain. : The examination of TB incidence trends in 10 high-burden …

The Multi-Kingdom Microbiome of Wintering Migratory Birds in Poyang Lake, China.

Wild birds are a natural reservoir for zoonotic viruses. To clarify the role of migratory birds in viruses spread in Poyang Lake, we investigated the microbiome of 250 wild bird samples from 19 species in seven orders. The bacterial and viral content …

Trends in Respiratory Infectious Pathogens in Children Under the Age of 14 - Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China, 2017-2023.

: Respiratory infections pose a significant burden on public health. Despite recent outbreaks occurring in various locations, there is limited information available on the prevalence trends of multiple common respiratory pathogens in China beyond …

Transmissibility of the variant of concern for SARS-CoV-2 in six regions.

INTRODUCTION: Differences in transmissibility of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) variants of concern (VOCs) in different districts are hard to assess. To address this, our study focused on calculating the Real-time …

Comparative analysis and prediction of avian influenza in Shangrao city, China from 2016 to 2022.

The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of vaccination, COVID-19 pandemic and migration of migratory birds on the avian influenza positivity rate in Shangrao City and to predict the future avian influenza positivity rate. Real-time …